Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks
by Mr. Action Junkie
November 24, 2024 5:09 pm
This show delivers daily sports betting picks, insights, and tips in under 14 minutes most days. Podcast launched in August 2021, here’s a list of some accomplishments: 2021 NFL Football – 57.7% against the spread winners, 62.8%-win rate on player prop bets 2022 MLB Baseball – 57.2%-win rate on team totals 2022 NFL Football – 60.2% against the spread winners 2023 NCAA Basketball Conference Tournaments – 58.1%-win rate on 1H unders 2023 College Football – Kota Capper College Football Central Lock, Underdog, and Unit Champ 2023 NFL Football – 57.3%-win rate on player prop bets 2024 NCAA College Basketball – 54%, up 22.18 units (up 58 units total w/blog plays) 2024 NBA Prop Bets – 57.2%, up 33.93 units Longest Winning Streak – 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets) Podcast motto: Manage that bankroll, don’t chase money, have fun, and let’s cash some tickets together. Manage that bankroll: Flat betting, percentage model, confidence model, and Kelly criterion model are all good options to be a long-term sports bettor. I flat bet risking 1 unit vs. winning 1 unit. Don’t chase money: Think risk management vs. emotional wagering. I’ve hit 60% plus percent over 60 days only to bust out on a bad weekend by losing all discipline. I go hot/cold on a dime and need to weather the storms. Have fun: For me, sports betting is a hobby, so I need to keep it fun. I bet significantly less per game now than I did 20 years ago and I’m still having just as much fun doing it. Overall: I’m not good enough tail, not bad enough to fade. Some days I win, some days I lose. I’ve made and still make plenty of mistakes, I’m still learning but I love sports betting. I mispronounce names, cities, and teams. Caution: For entertainment purposes only. Gambling related content is not intended for anyone under the age of 21. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Sports gambling isn’t easy, I like gambling stocks long-term for that reason.
Recent Episodes
6-1 day in College Football, on tilt in College Basketball. 2 NFL Prop Bets, 3 NFL Sides (Seattle, Las Vegas, New York), 1 NFL Total, 1 Parlay, 13 College Basketball Bets, and 1 NHL bet for Sunday.
2 days agoNew to sports betting? @KotaCapperPace hosts Cashing with Knowledge a new weekly show for those just starting out. Topic: Prop Bets
2 days agoNew day today. 7 College Football Bets, 6 College Basketball Bets (UMass, Kansas City, Georgetown, Santa Clara, LBSU, UNLV) , 1 NHL Bet, plus 14 College Football Bets from @KotaCapperKyle for Saturday
2 days agoCommunity Best Bet newsletter with College Basketball, College Football, NBA, NHL, and soccer selections. Props on Bennedict Mathurin, Zach LaVine, Jayson Tatum, and Tyrese Haliburton.
3 days agoThat's a winner! 13 College Basketball Bets - I love these tournaments! First tip: 10a CST, full day of basketball. 1 College Football Bet, 1 NBA Bet, 1 NHL Bet for Friday.
3 days agoWeek 12 NFL Prop Bet Show: 70-38 YTD, up 24.3789 units. 12 picks this week from @LWO_Sports, @LarryKligman, @Muchech, and Action. Prop bets on McLaurin, Maye, Irving, Herbert, Hurts, Stroud, Levis, Robinson, and more.
4 days agoCommunity Best Bet newsletter with NFL, NHL, NBA, College Football, and College Basketball selections. Props on Russell Wilson, Pat Freirmuth, Nick Chubb, Jerome Ford, Elijah Moore, Jameis Winston, George Pickens and Paul.
4 days ago54-39 YTD on College Basketball, mini meltdown. Steelers/Browns Bet, Nick Chubb prop, College Football Bet, 5 College Basketball Bets, 1 NBA Bet, plus 7 picks from @KotaCapperKyle for Thursday.
5 days agoCommunity Best Bet newsletter with selections in College Football, College Basketball, NBA, NHL, and Horse Racing action. Props on Damian Lillard, Coby White, Tyrese Haliburton, and Logan Stankoven.
5 days agoAction is back with 5 College Basketball Bets (Alabama, Richmond, Georgetown, Fresno State, UNLV), 2 MACtion Football Bets, 1 NBA Bet, and 1 NHL 1P Total for Wednesday.
6 days ago